How Rental Housing is Being Advertised and Vacancies Filled
2012 will see the expansion of rental housing being advertised online
or via sites that correlate to the explosive growth in the usage of
Smart Phones and tablets such as the Apple’s iPad. Property managers are also finding that social networking
sites, like Facebook and Twitter,
can be another great channel to market vacancies. Specialty websites
like RentVine.com have been used by an increasing number of owners and
property managers to expand their advertising of vacancies online. That
trend should continue and grow in 2012. The number of houses going into foreclosure
increased exponentially in 2011. As a result, the number of displaced
former homeowners looking for rentals increased to record levels. The
good news is that the year 2012 looks very bright and promising for the
property management industry and for both single and multifamily rental
housing owners.
The Tipping Point
The year 2011 will go down in history as the year when the
rental housing and multifamily apartment rental markets began to tip in
favor of owners and landlords. In many areas in the U.S. like Los
Angeles, Dallas, Phoenix, Chicago and Miami, the vacancy rates lowered
compared to 2010.
Other areas like Cleveland, Ohio, Denver, Colorado, Houston, Texas,
Atlanta, Georgia as well as the San Francisco-Oakland Bay Areas of
California saw vacancy rates flatten out or improve somewhat during
2011, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR).
The 2012 Forecast for Multifamily Rental Markets
The apartment rental market (aka multifamily rental housing) is
expected to see vacancy rates drop from a nationwide average of 5.0
percent in the fourth quarter of 2011 to 4.3 percent in the fourth
quarter of 2012, again according to the NAR. Multifamily vacancy rates
below 5 percent generally are considered a landlord’s market with
demand-supply factors usually leading to higher rents and higher
capitalization rates for owners.
Areas in the U.S. with the lowest multifamily vacancy rates currently
are Minneapolis, Minnesota, 2.4 percent; New York City, 2.7 percent;
and Portland, Oregon, at 2.8 percent. According to the NAR, the average
apartment rent was projected to rise 2.5 percent by the end of 2011 and
another 3.5 percent in 2012. That’s an amazing 40% increase
year-over-year! Multifamily net absorption is likely to be around
238,400 units all tolled for 2011 and 126,600 in 2012. The number
apparently drops in 2012 because of a considerable reduction in supply.
The true measure of change in total demand is net absorption. Gross
absorption is often an inappropriate and potentially misleading
indicator in terms of understanding and evaluating changes in total
demand for rental units.
Posted by Marc Courtenay in Real Estate
No comments:
Post a Comment